Back of the Envelope Problems


Problem #
Problem
Solution
Problem source and notes
1
How many piano tuners in Chicago?
Source: Fermi
2
How many people could comfortably stand on a tennis court? (or, if you prefer, a football field?)

Or, consider --

If all the people of the world were crowded together, how much area would we cover?
Dimensions of tennis court = 26 yards x 12 yards
 = 78 ft * 36 ft
Dimensions of football field = 120 yards x 53 yards
 Average dimensions of space taken by person = 1' x 1' = 1 sq foot
Thus 78 * 36 = 3000 people could fit onto a tennis court
or 120 * 3 * 53 * 3 = 60,000 people could fit onto a football field.
 
6 billion people, lets assume all crowded up in a square. we need 6 billion sq feet. The edge of this square will be
sqrt (6 * 10 ^ 9) = 80000 ft = 27000 m = 27 Km.
Source: Malcolm Swan, Univ of Nottingham and Jim Ridgway, Univ of Durham, UK, Plausible Estimation module. Field-tested Learning Assessment Guide (FLAG).
3
How many babies are born in the USA each minute?
Population = 300 mil
Life expectancy = 75
Assume uniform distribution of people over age
# of people 1 yr old = 1/75 * 300
# of babies born per min = 1/70 * 300 * 1/365 * 1/24 * 1/60 mil
=  8 per min
[US Census website: 1 baby per 8 seconds = 7.5 babies per sec]
Source: FLAG
4
How many K-8 elementary school teachers are in the USA?
Given life expectany = 75 and 9 of these years are spent in K-8, the number of kids is approx 1/8 th of the population.
Number of kids in K-8 schools = 300/8 mil
Assume for every 25 kids there is a teacher
Number of teachers  =  300/8 * 1/25
  = 1.5 million
 [1.9 million according to Statistical Abstracts, Hoover Business Press]
Source: FLAG
5
How much is spent on newspapers in USA?
300 mil, Assume 3 per household, 100 mil household.
Assume each house buys a newspaper a day.
Assume it costs 50 cents
Per year money spent = 100 * 365 *0.5 mil
  = 18 billion
[26 billion according to SA, HBP]
Source: FLAG
6
How many cars are bought in the USA?
300 mil, Assume 3 per household, 100 mil household.
Assume 1 car per household
Assume a car lives 10 years on an avg
So, on an average 1/10th of the cars will be replaced any year = 10 million cars
[8 millions in 1997]
[133 million cars nationwide in 2000, Stat Abs, 2002]
Source: FLAG
7
How many dentists are there in US?
Assume 1 person makes two visits per year.
Assume a dentist sees 10 people a day, or 3650 visits per year
Number of visits required per year = 300 mil * 2
Number of dentists = 300 * 2/3650 = 164,000
[160,000 according to SA, HBP]
Source: FLAG
8
How many dump truck loads would it take to cart away Mt. Everest? Dimensions of Mt. Everest. Height = 8848 m
We can assume it is conical.
But I have no idea of what its base dimensions might be. Its definitely steeper than a right circular cone. Couldnt find data on the geometry.
Source: Science Olympics
9
Assuming one Santa Claus visits all Christian children on Christmas, how fast would he have to travel?
And, how many reindeer would he need to pull his sleigh?
Population of the world 6 billion.
1/3rd christians implies 2 billion christians
Given life expectancy of 70, and kids are between 1 and 15, roughly 1/5 th are christian kids.
Number of christian kids waiting on Santa = 400 million
Assume Santa is spends just a microsecond dropping the gifts for each kid, total time spent in that = 400 s
He has now 86000 seconds left to travel. Lets say he will need to make around ten trips round the earth to accomplish this, 240000 miles, roughly 3 miles per second, or 100,000 miles per hour.

Pretty fast, and I dont feel like doing reindeers. Too many.

Source: Science Olympics
10
What is the weight of solid garbage thrown away by American families each year? 100 million households.
Averaging 1 to 2 pounds per day?
200 million pounds?
Source: L. B. Weinstein, Physics 309, ODU
11
How much time would be saved nationwide by increasing the speed limit from 55 to 65 mph? How does this compare to the extra lives lost? 3 people per household, 1 car per household =>
100 million cars.
How much is everyone driving?
For an average person, 20 miles a day, plus 1000 miles of longer trips => ~ 10,000 miles per year.
[Well, SA says about 12000 miles per year on an average vehicle]
Total miles driven = 100 billion.
Time saved = 100/10 = 10 billion hours
8760 hours in an year, say 10,000 = 1 million years.

Well per person, its 10,000/300 = 30 hours.

And how do you guess how many more people would accidents happen at this new speed limit?

From SA, Total fatalities 41, 821
speeding related
Source: Weinstein
12
If 10% of Californians drive electric vehicles, how many extra power plants will it take to recharge them each night? Population of California = 35 million
Assuming an avg guy drives 20 miles a day?
Power consumed by one electric vehicle being driven around by an average californian
10 Kwh, 6-8 hours to charge it.
At least 60 Kw for each of these vehicles
Total power per day = 60 Kw * 3.5 million
An average power plant produces 60 MW of power (per day??)
That would mean 3,500 new power plants?
More research needed here
http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/ipp/ipp_sum.html


13
How many individual frames are needed for a feature length motion picture? 24 frame per second
Feature length motion picture = 2 hours?
Number of frames = 2 * 3600 * 24
 = 18000 frames

14
What is the heat output of the sun? Method 1: Non-naive, there must be something easier
- All the energy is being produced by the fusion in the core.
- And the energy produced is given by E=mc^2 where m is the mass converted into energy.
- 4 protons fuse to form 1 helium nucleus. Mass lost = 0.7%
- Mass of hydrogen fusing = 700 mil metric tons per sec
- Mass converted into energy = 5 mil metric tons
- Find energy by using the formula
- what fraction of the energy is heat/light?
[Sun produces more energy in 1 sec than humans have in 10,000 years].
[Energy ouptut = 3.83 * 10 ^33 ergs/second, Microsoft Encarta]

15
How much electrical power does the US use per year?

16
How much power do humans use? How does this compare to the solar energy incident on the Earth?

17
How big does a seed on the ground have to be to justify a bird in flying off a tree branch to eat it? (kilograms)
London district science olympics
18
How many uranium atoms must undergo fission to supply electricity to an average household for one day? (number of uranium atoms) 1 fission results in 200 Mev = 200 * 10^9 *1.6 * 10^-19 = 3.2 * 10^ -11 J
(1 ev = 1.6 * 10 ^-19 J)
1 J = 1/3.2 * 10^11 fissions
1 W = 3 * 10^10 fissions per sec
Average power consumption of a house:
10 cents per kWH. Monthly bill of a household = 50
Perday $2 = 20 kWH


London district science olympics
19
If you breath on a window in the winter. a patch of mist will form (1i) the glass. What is the mass of that patch? Tidal volume = amount of air that moves in and out per breath ~ 500 ml
Inspiratory reserve volume = amount of air that can be inspired forcibly beyond TV ~ 2100 to 3200 ml
Expiratory reserve volume = amount of air that can be expired forcibly beyond TV ~ 1000 to 1200 ml
Residual volume = amount that remains in lungs after strenuous expiration ~ 1200 ml

Amount of water in the exhale ~ 30 ml

Facts about breathing:
10-15 breaths per min
The air flowrate of exhalation is higher than inhalation.
Lung volume ~ 3 L
Compositions:
Atmospheric Air:
N2: 78.62, O2: 20.85, CO2: 0.03, H2O: 0.5
Exhaled air:
N2: 74.9, O2: 15.3, CO2: 3.6, H2O: 6.2



20
Calculate the number of C02 molecules that are produced from the complete combustion of one litre of gasoline. (number of C02 molecules)

21
How many kittens were born in the city of London last year? (number of kittens)

22
How many grains of salt in an average salt shaker? (number of grains)

23
Estimate how many kilograms of potatoes are eaten each year in North America. (kilograms)

24
What is the total kinetic energy of all the automobiles in Canada at this moment? (joules)

25
How many individual hairs does a barber cut. in a lifetime? (number of hairs) A haircut takes somewhere between half an hour to an hour. About 10 haircuts a day. Lets say a barber's career lasts for 30 years.
30 * 10 * 365 ~ 100,000 haircuts
Each hai

26
How many ethanol molecules in a bottle of good Scotch? 750 ml, 80 proof => 300 ml ethanol
Molecular weight C2 H5 0H = 46g
Density of ethanol 0.8 g/ml => 240 g ethanol
Number of moles = 6
Number of molecules = 3.6 * 10 ^ 24


27
How much warmer is a room when there are ten people in it than when it is empty? Heat output per person:
An average person consumes about 2000 (food) calories per day = 2 * 10^3 * 10^3 calories

28
How many runs were scored by major league baseball teams during April 2000?

29
What do you think is the volume of gasoline your car uses in a year? How does this compare to the volume of liquid (water, soda, coffee, etc.) you drink in a year?
Mathematics Assessment Resource Service (MARS), Univ of Michigan
30
What is the mass of a fully loaded Boeing 747?

QuarkNet, Fermi Labs.
31
What is the length in miles of the US Interstate Highway system?


32
How much tea is there in China?
1 billion people.
5 cups a day.
5 gms a cup.
Lets say they stock an years worth of supply.
25 billion grams = 25 million kilos per day
In an year, 365 * 25  ~ 10 billion kilos

33
Annual cost of healthcare in USA?
The insurance companies cant be making a loss, so this gives an upper bound =
300 mil * 1000 = 300 billion.
No, there is medicare and other things.


Last updated 01/16/04, 5:45am

References

1 Breathing:
http://users.rcn.com/jkimball.ma.ultranet/BiologyPages/P/Pulmonary.html
http://webusers.xula.edu/cdoumen/CAP/HumanResp1.html

2 Statistical Abstracts of the US
http://www.census.gov/prod/www/statistical-abstract-02.html

3 Lexis Nexis Statistical Search
http://web.lexis-nexis.com/statuniv/

4 University of Michigan Statistical Resources
http://www.lib.umich.edu/govdocs/frames/statsfr.html